Field notes

Research from the desk, in plain dollars.

A prescription handed across a pharmacy counter, the texture that proves the rent is working.
Market thesis 4 min

Why the 45-day clock is a search-friction problem

The 45-day identification window is usually described as a deadline problem. It is more precisely a search problem, and the distinction changes how you beat it.

A 1031 exchanger does not lack time in the abstract; they lack time relative to the cost of evaluating each candidate. The conventional buy-side workflow searches blind on listing metadata (cap rate, price, tenant name), pulls the offering memorandum, underwrites it, and discards roughly four of every five candidates after the underwriting, not before it. The expensive step happens late, on deals that were never going to pencil. That is friction in the technical sense: effort spent on matches that fail.

The search-and-matching literature in economics formalizes exactly this. In the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides framework, a market clears efficiently when the cost of search is balanced against the rate at which good matches form; the Hosios condition states when that balance is reached. Achieving it exactly in commercial real estate is impossible, because the bargaining set is never fully observable. The narrower claim is provable: reduce the cost of evaluating each candidate, and the same 45 days buys more identifications.

That is the whole mechanic. Underwrite every deal in the universe to the buyer’s actual scenario first, then let them search the pre-underwritten pool. Time stops going to deals that do not survive the buyer’s downside; it goes only to the ones that already do. The clock did not get longer. The work moved to the front, and most of it stopped being repeated.

Methodology 3 min

Dark Shell Scoring

Dark Shell Scoring is how we underwrite net lease. Two questions, in order. What does the asset throw off, and what is it worth when the lease ends. The first is cash flow, NOI minus debt service, the number you keep in year one. The second is the part listing agents do not show you.

A single-tenant net lease asset loses value over time, not gains it. What you are buying is the lease: the income, the credit behind it, and the term remaining. That term burns down toward the maturity of your loan. Dark Shell Scoring lays the timeline against that maturity and, when the lease ends near it, models what the asset is worth empty.

How much that downside matters depends on the deal. A lease with thirty years to run does not carry it the way a seven-year one does, and the score weights it accordingly. Your objective is to defer capital gains and place the proceeds somewhere that compounds. We show you the best case, and the risk no marketing material will.

Field note 2 min

Pricing the reality

A property is listed at a price. That doesn’t mean it will trade there.

Some sellers are hard on their list number. Some have room. A loan coming due, life circumstances, a tax basis shift. The only way to discover which is through process.

That’s why our underwriting follows you through the whole process.

When you compare properties on Shop, you compare based on what you plan to offer. Not the list price. The list price is marketing. Your offer is the reality you’ll close on.

Submitting is one click. Your offer goes to a buyer broker in our network. They convert it into a formal offer to the listing side. The response, counter, accept, or pass, redoes your underwriting in place.

The underwriting you see when you first log on is the same underwriting that follows you to close. Reality, not marketing.