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The tenant 3 min read

How to read tenant credit.

What a rating tells you, and the three things it leaves out of the rent check you are buying.

Illustration of a balance scale

What a rating is, and what it is for

A credit rating is the bond market's opinion of whether a company can pay its debts. The agencies sort companies into bands. Investment grade runs from the top down to BBB minus. Below that is high yield, also called non-investment grade. Some tenants carry no rating at all, which is information too, not a verdict.

That opinion is useful. It is also narrow. A rating measures the parent company's ability to service its debt. It does not measure whether the specific store at the specific corner you are buying will keep its lights on. Those are different questions, and the rating only answers the first one.

The three things a rating leaves out

Store-level performance is the first. A company can be investment grade and still run individual locations that lose money, and companies close the locations that lose money. A strong rating on the parent is not a promise about the address on your deed.

Intent to renew is the second. The rating says nothing about whether this tenant wants this box when the term ends. A healthy company with a thriving store two miles away may still let your lease lapse because the real-estate strategy changed. Credit is about the ability to pay, not the desire to stay.

Local reality is the third. Traffic counts, the co-tenants in the center, a competitor opening down the road, a road project rerouting the cars. None of it shows up in a rating, and all of it shows up in the rent check.

What to layer on top

Read the rating, then go past it. Pull the store history. Has this tenant exercised options at other locations, which tells you it renews when the unit works. Look at the reported sales if the lease discloses them. Walk the trade area, or have someone walk it. Check for nearby closures in the same brand. Read the parent company news the way a lender would. The rating is the first page of the file, not the whole file.

Do not write off the unrated tenant on the rating alone. Many of the strongest operators in net lease are franchisees and regional companies that never issued public debt, so the agencies never scored them. The right read there is the operator: how many units they run, how long they have held this one, and whether the store makes money. An unrated tenant with a profitable store and twenty years in place can be a safer rent check than a rated parent quietly trimming its footprint.

The agencies have placed large net-lease tenants across the investment-grade bands, but ratings move. Check the current rating on the actual tenant at the time you buy, not the one printed in an older memorandum.

A credit rating is the single most efficient first filter on a single-tenant deal, and it is never a substitute for understanding the store at the actual address.

The honest way to use it

Start with the rating. Do not end there. It tells you what the bond market thinks of the company. The deal is about the building, the lease, and the corner. Buy those.

Sources and notes
  1. Investment-grade and high-yield bands follow the published rating scales of the major agencies (for example S&P: AAA, AA, A, BBB, then below).
  2. Specific tenant ratings change over time. Verify the current rating on the named tenant before purchase rather than relying on a figure in an older memorandum.

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